Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 5.819849e-01 0.749545 0.938916 1.166215 1.429067 1.721029 2.067351
2025-10-12 3.511505e-01 0.556830 0.820646 1.171986 1.615891 2.146999 2.819083
2025-10-19 1.991063e-01 0.400776 0.696971 1.133145 1.729456 2.488480 3.499222
2025-10-26 1.111747e-01 0.293781 0.603134 1.104417 1.839132 2.823829 4.189442
2025-11-02 6.431439e-02 0.228217 0.548077 1.112870 1.990458 3.216172 4.970154
2025-11-09 3.171819e-02 0.165954 0.475602 1.074940 2.062397 3.497325 5.611547
2025-11-16 1.854445e-02 0.139399 0.459537 1.123530 2.264120 3.967316 6.526382
2025-11-23 8.730069e-03 0.108927 0.422910 1.126230 2.388992 4.328148 7.299739
2025-11-30 5.023379e-03 0.097484 0.425902 1.201644 2.635725 4.878026 8.357321
2025-12-07 2.326255e-03 0.083229 0.415717 1.247790 2.833984 5.360599 9.331108
2025-12-14 7.261684e-04 0.067288 0.393229 1.263383 2.977947 5.762996 10.197722
2025-12-21 7.726906e-05 0.050155 0.356977 1.241310 3.050505 6.053734 10.905298
2025-12-28 6.920704e-07 0.040484 0.341738 1.265958 3.213125 6.499498 11.866535
2026-01-04 NaN 0.031312 0.321771 1.275371 3.347139 6.903872 12.776854
2026-01-11 NaN 0.020945 0.285501 1.235810 3.382654 7.147100 13.447690
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013810 0.255891 1.206107 3.433035 7.414506 14.160402
2026-01-25 NaN 0.010018 0.241561 1.215504 3.561722 7.816749 15.090491
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005787 0.212994 1.175374 3.583195 8.034776 15.735207
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004756 0.213887 1.227152 3.802231 8.600397 16.940036
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003061 0.200707 1.230076 3.915134 8.982995 17.860311
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002847 0.209821 1.310223 4.201571 9.678270 19.292363
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002245 0.210009 1.359218 4.420847 10.259169 20.549493
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001452 0.201566 1.375769 4.567872 10.714472 21.611237